{"id":2164,"date":"2021-08-26T22:07:52","date_gmt":"2021-08-26T21:07:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/turkey-zero-pollution.com\/?p=2164"},"modified":"2021-08-26T22:07:54","modified_gmt":"2021-08-26T21:07:54","slug":"gelecek-icin-artik-adimlar-atilmali","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/turkey-zero-pollution.com\/?p=2164","title":{"rendered":"Gelecek i\u00e7in art\u0131k ad\u0131mlar at\u0131lmal\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u0130klim krizi, bir kaza sonras\u0131 arac\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n tamponunu ve motorunu parampar\u00e7a etmi\u015f ve h\u0131zla s\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fc koltu\u011funa do\u011fru arabay\u0131 par\u00e7alamaya devam eden bir duvar gibi. Biz, kazay\u0131 a\u011f\u0131r \u00e7ekimde izliyoruz.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\"Gelecek<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

DR. \u00c7A\u011eRI MERT BAKIRCI<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta H\u00fck\u00fcmetler aras\u0131 \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fimi Paneli (IPCC) taraf\u0131ndan alt\u0131nc\u0131s\u0131 yay\u0131nlanan de\u011ferlendirme raporu, 7 y\u0131l kadar \u00f6nce yay\u0131nlanan bir \u00f6nceki rapordan bu yana iklim krizinin ne kadar \u015fiddetlendi\u011fini ve iklim kriziyle m\u00fccadelede ne kadar ge\u00e7 kal\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Raporda \u00e7ok net bir \u015fekilde ortaya konan 4 ger\u00e7ek var: \u0130klim de\u011fi\u015fimi, k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131tma y\u00f6n\u00fcnde ya\u015fanmaya devam ediyor. Bu de\u011fi\u015fimin a\u00e7\u0131k ara farkla ana nedeni, insanlar taraf\u0131ndan sa\u00e7\u0131lan sera gazlar\u0131. \u0130klim de\u011fi\u015fiminin etkileri ger\u00e7ekten \u00e7ok k\u00f6t\u00fc ve kimi durumda y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 olacak \u2013 ve bu y\u0131k\u0131m \u00e7oktan ba\u015flad\u0131. Son olarak, gidi\u015fat\u0131 tamamen geri d\u00f6nd\u00fcremesek bile, D\u00fcnya\u2019n\u0131n \u0131s\u0131nmas\u0131 konusunda eksiltti\u011fimiz her 1\u00b0C (yani mesela 3\u00b0C yerine 2\u00b0C \u0131s\u0131nma), gezegenin alaca\u011f\u0131 hasar\u0131 dikkate de\u011fer miktarda azaltacak. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Bu 4 ger\u00e7e\u011fi de zaten biliyorduk; ancak IPCC\u2019nin bu y\u0131lki raporunun \u00f6zel taraf\u0131, son 7 y\u0131lda geli\u015fen teknoloji ve bilimsel modelleme y\u00f6ntemleri sayesinde, bu gidi\u015fat\u0131 tan\u0131mlamakta kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z nicel y\u00f6ntemlerin \u00e7ok daha keskin ve isabetli bir \u015fekilde \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclebilmesi oldu. Yani \u00f6rne\u011fin y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama s\u0131cakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 veya y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama deniz seviyesi y\u00fckselmesi beklentileri \u00fczerindeki belirsizlik ve hata paylar\u0131 dikkate de\u011fer miktarda azald\u0131, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc art\u0131k modellerimizden \u00e7ok daha eminiz ve teknolojimiz \u00e7ok daha ilerlemi\u015f vaziyette. Raporda 5 farkl\u0131 senaryo kullan\u0131l\u0131yor. Bu senaryolar\u0131 bir skalaya yerle\u015ftirecek olursak, bir u\u00e7ta hi\u00e7bir \u015feyi de\u011fi\u015ftirmeden ve hi\u00e7bir \u00f6nlem almadan aynen yola devam etmek, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla sera gaz\u0131 sa\u00e7\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n 2050 veya 2100 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar 2 kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 senaryolar var. Di\u011fer u\u00e7ta ise \u00e7ok kat\u0131 \u00f6nlemler al\u0131nmas\u0131 sonucu 2050 y\u0131l\u0131 civar\u0131nda sera gaz\u0131 sa\u00e7\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n net s\u0131f\u0131ra indirilmesi senaryosu var. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, insanl\u0131k i\u00e7in farkl\u0131 gelecek senaryolar\u0131 \u00e7izmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn; ancak baz\u0131 temel konularda 5 senaryo da ayn\u0131 sonucu veriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6rne\u011fin her 5 senaryo i\u00e7in de 2100 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar gezegenin \u0131s\u0131nmaya devam etmesini \u00f6nlemenin bir yolu bulunmuyor. Ancak…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.birgun.net\/haber\/gelecek-icin-artik-adimlar-atilmali-356025<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0130klim krizi, bir kaza sonras\u0131 arac\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n tamponunu ve motorunu parampar\u00e7a etmi\u015f ve h\u0131zla s\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fc koltu\u011funa do\u011fru arabay\u0131 par\u00e7alamaya devam eden bir duvar gibi. Biz, kazay\u0131 a\u011f\u0131r \u00e7ekimde izliyoruz. DR. \u00c7A\u011eRI MERT BAKIRCI Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"yst_prominent_words":[],"class_list":["post-2164","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-non-classe"],"lang":"tr","translations":{"fr":2167,"tr":2164,"en":2169,"de":2171,"es":2173},"pll_sync_post":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/turkey-zero-pollution.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2164","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/turkey-zero-pollution.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/turkey-zero-pollution.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/turkey-zero-pollution.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/turkey-zero-pollution.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2164"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/turkey-zero-pollution.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2164\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/turkey-zero-pollution.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2164"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/turkey-zero-pollution.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2164"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/turkey-zero-pollution.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2164"},{"taxonomy":"yst_prominent_words","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/turkey-zero-pollution.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fyst_prominent_words&post=2164"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}